I have been thinking recently about how reliable our
electrical power supply really is.
It started while reading the Kindle Book, “Farming 101:
Transitions.” In this short novel, Gary Martens of the University of Manitoba
is making a case for Natural Systems Agriculture. He does not have much success
until he interjects into the plot a major, electrical power outage in the
middle of winter.
The power failure embraces all of North
America and the electricity simply does not come on again. And it
is in that context that some enterprising farmers rediscover a more natural and
sustainable way of farming.
“How ridiculous!” I hear someone say. Power always comes
back on within a few hours or days at the most. But what if it didn’t? I began
asking people what they would do if the power went off in mid-winter and didn’t
come back on. A look of incredulity usually was followed by some statement
like, “I just don’t want to go there.”
I googled for information about the massive power failure in
the Eastern USA and Canada in 2003. I
discovered that at least 50 million people lost power, some of them for 33
days. Reading
through the government report about that event was not encouraging. It revealed
dozens of weak links in the electrical grid and documented how, because of the
integration of multiple systems, one part can affect another to bring down the
whole. In the end the report made 46 recommendations to improve the system.
Yes, forty-six.
Hmm! This led me to a book I found at the U.
of M.
library; “Brittle Power,” by Amory and Hunter Lovins (1982). It is a major work
outlining the vulnerability of all of North
America ’s energy sector, including its electrical
systems. They document how all the systems society depends upon for survival
are vulnerable to major disruption because of internal flaws, human error,
natural disasters and sabotage of various kinds.
The authors point out that because all the energy systems
are so interconnected, both within each sector and with each other, it would
not take much to bring down all the systems at one time.
Some people tell me to be quiet about such things. This kind
of “fear-mongering” is not helpful, they say. But why was it okay to consider
the fearful possibility of Winnipeg
being totally flooded once in 700 years, which led to our building a massive
floodway at huge expense? Just to be prepared. But to anticipate an inevitable collapse of
the electrical grid is off limits.
The Lovins leave us with something to ponder. “It is not
pleasant to have in the back of one’s mind that the next time the lights blink
out, they may take an exceedingly long time to come back on again (140). Personally,
I think a responsible society needs to think about such things. Especially in
mid-winter.
In future articles we will explore possible ways to be
better prepared for major electrical outages.